Metro Portland Area	Yr to date Avg Price	Avg Mkt Days	Avg Appreciation
North Portland	$234500	113	-5.1%
NE Portland	$297100	107	-3.0%
SE Portland	$240800	127	-6.2%
Gresham / Troutdale	$228200	167	-9.1%
Milwaukie / Clackamas	$296300	185	-8.2%
Oregon City / Canby	$299800	147	-9.0%
Lake Oswego / West Linn	$484400	178	-9.1%
West Portland	$446000	135	-2.6%
NW Portland / Washington County	$363000	126	-5.8%
Beaverton / Aloha	$249000	145	-6.6%
Tigard / Wilsonville	$320700	158	-8.0%
Hillsboro / Forest Grove	$245500	165	-9.6%

Data: June 8, 2009

Source: RMLS Area Report Metro Portland & Adjacent Regions

Dave’s Commentary on the Portland Real Estate Market:

RMLS numbers reflect a reduction in Portland’s housing inventory. We’re down to an 11 month supply for April’s final figures. This is a good sign that the market is starting to improve. Typically the amount of homes for sale rises in spring as do the number of closed sales. A reduction in overall inventory means that buyers are purchasing at a faster rate than homes are being listed for sale.

Working with buyers provides me an opportunity to interact with listing agents when out showing homes. I always ask other agents what their offices are seeing and what that person’s take on the market is. Lately it’s all been the same. Business is up!

Comments vary across the range of course but the majority of agents I’ve spoken with are raving about the amount of buyers they’re currently working with. While May’s inventory numbers are not out yet it’s exciting to anticipate. My guess is that it’ll be down even more, showing more market improvement.

RMLS data shows dwindling appreciation figures so keep in mind that these are a reflection of activity 3 -6 month’s ago. Forecasts are still fairly abundant that late 3rd quarter/early 4th will show we’ve reached a plateau. By the time the media starts reporting on such buyers will start seeing sellers being less desperate.

Dave’s prediction; We’re getting very close to bottoming out or may have already done so. Buyers closing in 2009 will reap huge benefits 5 years from now. Fence sitters need to make their move.

Call us and find out more about the Portland real estate market. We have specific strategies to guide both buyers and sellers. Find YOUR HOME WORTH now.

To search for your home anywhere in the Metro Portland area, use our FREE Portland Home Search tool. For more information about living in Portland and finding your dream home, call Dave at (503) 789-7633, Toll Free (877) 629-5825 or email.

Learn about our Exclusive VIP Portland Buyer Services. Contact Dave now. Make informed decisions; make smart choices. Call Dave now at (503) 789-7633 or Toll Free (877) 629-5825 ext. 7.

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Metro Portland Area	Yr to date Avg Price	Avg Mkt Days	Avg Appreciation
North Portland	$234500	113	-5.1%
NE Portland	$297100	107	-3.0%
SE Portland	$240800	127	-6.2%
Gresham / Troutdale	$228200	167	-9.1%
Milwaukie / Clackamas	$296300	185	-8.2%
Oregon City / Canby	$299800	147	-9.0%
Lake Oswego / West Linn	$484400	178	-9.1%
West Portland	$446000	135	-2.6%
NW Portland / Washington County	$363000	126	-5.8%
Beaverton / Aloha	$249000	145	-6.6%
Tigard / Wilsonville	$320700	158	-8.0%
Hillsboro / Forest Grove	$245500	165	-9.6%

Data: June 8, 2009

Source: RMLS Area Report Metro Portland & Adjacent Regions

Dave’s Commentary on the Portland Real Estate Market:

RMLS numbers reflect a reduction in Portland’s housing inventory. We’re down to an 11 month supply for April’s final figures. This is a good sign that the market is starting to improve. Typically the amount of homes for sale rises in spring as do the number of closed sales. A reduction in overall inventory means that buyers are purchasing at a faster rate than homes are being listed for sale.

Working with buyers provides me an opportunity to interact with listing agents when out showing homes. I always ask other agents what their offices are seeing and what that person’s take on the market is. Lately it’s all been the same. Business is up!

Comments vary across the range of course but the majority of agents I’ve spoken with are raving about the amount of buyers they’re currently working with. While May’s inventory numbers are not out yet it’s exciting to anticipate. My guess is that it’ll be down even more, showing more market improvement.

RMLS data shows dwindling appreciation figures so keep in mind that these are a reflection of activity 3 -6 month’s ago. Forecasts are still fairly abundant that late 3rd quarter/early 4th will show we’ve reached a plateau. By the time the media starts reporting on such buyers will start seeing sellers being less desperate.

Dave’s prediction; We’re getting very close to bottoming out or may have already done so. Buyers closing in 2009 will reap huge benefits 5 years from now. Fence sitters need to make their move.

Call us and find out more about the Portland real estate market. We have specific strategies to guide both buyers and sellers. Find YOUR HOME WORTH now.

To search for your home anywhere in the Metro Portland area, use our FREE Portland Home Search tool. For more information about living in Portland and finding your dream home, call Dave at (503) 789-7633, Toll Free (877) 629-5825 or email.

Learn about our Exclusive VIP Portland Buyer Services. Contact Dave now. Make informed decisions; make smart choices. Call Dave now at (503) 789-7633 or Toll Free (877) 629-5825 ext. 7.

Relocating to Portland, Oregon? Let us help with your Portland Relocation.

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Metro Portland Area	Yr to date Avg Price	Avg Mkt Days	Avg Appreciation
North Portland	$232000	114	-2.0%
NE Portland	$296000	130	-2.0%
SE Portland	$239000	149	-5.1%
Gresham / Troutdale	$225000	144	-8.0%
Milwaukie / Clackamas	$292200	137	-7.3%
Oregon City / Canby	$287000	171	-5.5%
Lake Oswego / West Linn	$491500	141	-7.9%
West Portland	$522900	179	-1.7%
NW Portland / Washington County	$383000	163	-4.1%
Beaverton / Aloha	$255000	145	-5.0%
Tigard / Wilsonville	$322300	226	-6.9%
Hillsboro / Forest Grove	$246700	162	-8.2%

Data: April 21, 2009

Source: RMLS Area Report Metro Portland & Adjacent Regions

Dave’s Commentary on the Portland Real Estate Market:

Inventory has significantly dropped and at a faster pace than over last two years given the same time period. What does this mean? It means that buyers are seeing the light and taking advantage of short sale and foreclosure home deals. As supply of available homes for sale decreases our market improves. Keep in mind that a balanced amount of listed home favors neither the buyer nor seller at 6 months, we’re currently at 12. That number is way down from January’s record 19!

What we’re experiencing is no movement in secondary price levels, those above $250k or so. The reason our market is slow for anything over $250k is that first time buyers are displacing sellers who are in tough times. Normally these folks would move up in price to a new home, pushing the higher end. Entry level home sellers who overextended finances are now renters. Working through this inventory is again, a sign of market recovery.

First time buyers are looking to convert from renters into owners and take advantage of the federal tax credit of $8000. This money is available to most who close a home before December 1st 2009 and who have not owned in the last 3 yrs.

Sellers in the $400k+ price ranges need to be super agressive on pricing. Look at comparable sales within the last 6 months and subtract 10%. I’m not joking… you’ll move your house and make it up on the purchase!!

The bottom line: If your job is secure take advantage of this situation. Correction to our values was required and 2009 is the year for it. Money is made in real estate on the purchase… not the sale.

Call us and find out more about the Portland real estate market. We have specific strategies to guide both buyers and sellers. Find YOUR HOME WORTH now.

To search for your home anywhere in the Metro Portland area, use our FREE Portland Home Search tool. For more information about living in Portland and finding your dream home, call Dave at (503) 789-7633, Toll Free (877) 629-5825 or email.

Learn about our Exclusive VIP Portland Buyer Services. Contact Dave now. Make informed decisions; make smart choices. Call Dave now at (503) 789-7633 or Toll Free (877) 629-5825 ext. 7.

Relocating to Portland, Oregon? Let us help with your Portland Relocation.

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Metro Portland Area	Yr to date Avg Price	Avg Mkt Days	Avg Appreciation
North Portland	$232000	114	-2.0%
NE Portland	$296000	130	-2.0%
SE Portland	$239000	149	-5.1%
Gresham / Troutdale	$225000	144	-8.0%
Milwaukie / Clackamas	$292200	137	-7.3%
Oregon City / Canby	$287000	171	-5.5%
Lake Oswego / West Linn	$491500	141	-7.9%
West Portland	$522900	179	-1.7%
NW Portland / Washington County	$383000	163	-4.1%
Beaverton / Aloha	$255000	145	-5.0%
Tigard / Wilsonville	$322300	226	-6.9%
Hillsboro / Forest Grove	$246700	162	-8.2%

Data: March 20, 2009

Source: RMLS Area Report Metro Portland & Adjacent Regions

Dave’s Commentary on the Portland Real Estate Market:

Portland’s housing inventory is down from January’s record number to 16.6 month’s worth of supply. At the current rate of purchase it’ll take this long to buy up all homes for sale, if no others houses were to list in RMLS. This number is important because it’s a gage on our housing market.

If playing field was level between buyers and sellers there’d be a 6 month supply. Scales are heavily favoring buyers currently. Projections for growth in the Portland metro area are still optimistic. New industry has capitalized on Hillsboro’s industrial locations. The South Waterfront is still projected to grow immensely in coming years and condos for sale in the area are plentiful. Also, 3 luxury apartment buildings are being constructed at the moment.

Interest rates today are pushing 4.5%. Wow! Investors need to look at this opportunity as rare in the overall picture of real estate. Cash flow on investment properties has not been this good for the last 10yrs at least! While the rental market has softened a bit there’s money to be made. Hold out for a couple of years and watch what happens with house prices. People will look back at the summer of 2009 as an excellent time to get into real estate.

Sales picked up in February and the number of new listings decreased by comparison to 2008. This is good for market correction. Activity picks up as we head towards spring and number of days on market will improve historically. Look for opportunities to capitalize on Portland’s real estate situation. This is the year of the BUYER!!

Call us and find out more about the Portland real estate market. We have specific strategies to guide both buyers and sellers. Find YOUR HOME WORTH now.

To search for your home anywhere in the Metro Portland area, use our FREE Portland Home Search tool. For more information about living in Portland and finding your dream home, call Dave at (503) 789-7633, Toll Free (877) 629-5825 or email.

Learn about our Exclusive VIP Portland Buyer Services. Contact Dave now. Make informed decisions; make smart choices. Call Dave now at (503) 789-7633 or Toll Free (877) 629-5825 ext. 7.

Relocating to Portland, Oregon? Let us help with your Portland Relocation.

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Metro Portland Area	Yr to date Avg Price	Avg Mkt Days	Avg Appreciation
North Portland	$248300	88	-1.2%
NE Portland	$299800	129	-1.2%
SE Portland	$238800	142	-5.9%
Gresham / Troutdale	$218300	184	-8.3%
Milwaukie / Clackamas	$293900	140	-7.3%
Oregon City / Canby	$284500	145	-5.5%
Lake Oswego / West Linn	$499500	195	-7.2%
West Portland	$428200	208	-1.3%
NW Portland / Washington County	$401400	134	-4.7%
Beaverton / Aloha	$264900	138	-5.2%
Tigard / Wilsonville	$310400	181	-7.7%
Hillsboro / Forest Grove	$246400	121	-7.7%

Data: March 20, 2009

Source: RMLS Area Report Metro Portland & Adjacent Regions

Dave’s Commentary on the Portland Real Estate Market:

Portland’s housing inventory is down 14% from January. Couple the recipe of incredible selection and low interest rates and you’ve got a mix for historical buying opportunity. Question is, how quickly will buyers take advantage of the situation?

Although the number of homes available for sale is not at record numbers, pace of closings is slower than in years past and that’s what created the 19.2 month number. While this is a record high we need to put it inperspective.

Consider that historically every January inventory levels jump significantly. Last years numbers were up 33% over December 2007. 2009 numbers are up only 27%. Consider also that sales last month hit a new low and this means that it’ll take time to burn through our inventory. Nationally sales were up in December and Portland lags behind on U.S. trends.

First time buyers got a big boost from the $8000 tax credit, a welcome move by most. This should help push first-time buyers out of the rental market and into homes. Rental prices have softened with the economy somewhat but that $1200 rent payment easily translates into a $1400 house payment. Renters with stable jobs are going to see HUGE rewards by taking advantage of the situation.

Recent articles on Forbes.com list Portland in the top ten best long-term housing bets. We were also number 5 for move destinations according to a recent study by Relocation.com. Articles like this are overshadowed by negative news these days but buyers and investors who see through the hype are going to fare well overall!

Call us and find out more about the Portland real estate market. We have specific strategies to guide both buyers and sellers. Find YOUR HOME WORTH now.

To search for your home anywhere in the Metro Portland area, use our FREE Portland Home Search tool. For more information about living in Portland and finding your dream home, call Dave at (503) 789-7633, Toll Free (877) 629-5825 or email.

Learn about our Exclusive VIP Portland Buyer Services. Contact Dave now. Make informed decisions; make smart choices. Call Dave now at (503) 789-7633 or Toll Free (877) 629-5825 ext. 7.

Relocating to Portland, Oregon? Let us help with your Portland Relocation.

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Metro Portland Area	Yr to date Avg Price	Avg Mkt Days	Avg Appreciation
North Portland	$232100	132	-0.7%
NE Portland	$320000	109	-0.4%
SE Portland	$276100	108	-3.3%
Gresham / Troutdale	$258700	145	-8.2%
Milwaukie / Clackamas	$318400	125	-4.6%
Oregon City / Canby	$313500	169	-5.0%
Lake Oswego / West Linn	$541600	209	-4.5%
West Portland	$478500	172	1.9%
NW Portland / Washington County	$404800	117	-3.4%
Beaverton / Aloha	$273800	121	-4.4%
Tigard / Wilsonville	$323000	162	-5.9%
Hillsboro / Forest Grove	$255000	127	-6.7%

Data: January 21, 2009

Source: RMLS Area Report Metro Portland & Adjacent Regions

Dave’s Commentary on the Portland Real Estate Market:

Portland is still lagging behind on foreclosure rates and market decline based upon national numbers. Keep in mind that current published rates of sale and prices are a reflection of 3 months earlier. As the season pushes towards spring buyers are emerging and will continue to do so, absorbing inventory. Good news for anxious sellers.

First-time home buyers are seeing the advantage of owning over renting with rates so low. It’s quite possible to get a house now with payments very close to rents. The $7500 tax credit stimulous seems to be brought up on a regular basis with buyers.

The metro area rental market is softening with rents plateauing after several quarters of dramatic increase. As unemployment numbers continue to grow we’ll see vacancies potentially increase slightly due to people doubling up and wallets tightening. Rents will not go down any time soon however.

Interest rates are bouncing around 5%, dipping into the 4’s. Some forecasts predict low 4’s within the next 60 days. As the feds buy mortgage backed securities on a steady basis rates potentially lower.

Get out there and look for that fantastic deal on a bank owned property while the opportunity is good. From an investor’s standpoint this is a dream market. With a bit of searching you’ll come up with a winning combination of finance and purchase price to beat any deal in recent history!

Call us and find out more about the Portland real estate market. We have specific strategies to guide both buyers and sellers. Find YOUR HOME WORTH now.

To search for your home anywhere in the Metro Portland area, use our FREE Portland Home Search tool. For more information about living in Portland and finding your dream home, call Dave at (503) 789-7633, Toll Free (877) 629-5825 or email.

Learn about our Exclusive VIP Portland Buyer Services. Contact Dave now. Make informed decisions; make smart choices. Call Dave now at (503) 789-7633 or Toll Free (877) 629-5825 ext. 7.

Relocating to Portland, Oregon? Let us help with your Portland Relocation.

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Metro Portland Area	Yr to date Avg Price	Avg Mkt Days	Avg Appreciation
North Portland	$266100	120	0.1%
NE Portland	$322000	98	0.5%
SE Portland	$276800	109	-3.1%
Gresham / Troutdale	$260700	128	-6.4%
Milwaukie / Clackamas	$322200	155	-4.6%
Oregon City / Canby	$316300	172	-5.6%
Lake Oswego / West Linn	$543300	182	0.4%
West Portland	$480700	145	4.2%
NW Portland / Washington County	$404900	152	-1.7%
Beaverton / Aloha	$274900	155	-4.8%
Tigard / Wilsonville	$354200	144	-4.8%
Hillsboro / Forest Grove	$280300	124	-5.9%

Data: December 18, 2008

Source: RMLS Area Report Metro Portland & Adjacent Regions

Dave’s Commentary on the Portland Real Estate Market:

Portland’s real estate has seen a dramatic change over the last few months. RMLS numbers now reflect a 15 month supply of available homes for sale throughout the metro area. Sellers are averaging 135 days to get their homes sold. Buyers are loving this!

Sellers who are not upside down in their house have a tough battle, competing against neighboring short sales and a relatively small percentage of foreclosures. Entry priced homes are commonly selling short of what’s owed and this affect trickles uphill into higher end properties. Luxury homes in areas like Lake Oswego are deeply discounted and not immune to similar circumstances. Bank owned properties can be picked up cheap!

What does this mean for the average homeowner in Portland? Don’t sell unless it’s absolutely necessary. If you do have to sell price it 5% lower than the competition and it’ll move. Currently homes are selling at a rate of about 40 per day. Sellers must be aggressive!

Buyers are able to reap benefits of today’s incredibly low interest rates. FHA borrowers can get a historical low of 4.5%. Conventional mortgage rates are the same as of this writing. If loan-to-value (LTV) is 60% or less it’s possible to lock in 4.375%. Wow!!

Interestingly enough guidelines have changed for investors. Fannie and Freddie underwriting requirements only allow a total of 4 mortgages, 3 investments. Makes it tougher for those who would love to take advantage of the buyer’s market and already own several properties. Good news is that there’s no shortage of Portland investment property with upside potential and cash flow is better than ever.

Call us and find out more about the Portland real estate market. We have specific strategies to guide both buyers and sellers. Find YOUR HOME WORTH now.

To search for your home in anywhere in the Metro Portland area, use our FREE Portland Home Search tool. For more information about living in Portland and finding your dream home, call Dave at (503) 789-7633, Toll Free (877) 629-5825 or email.

Learn about our Exclusive VIP Buyer Services. Contact Dave now. Make informed decisions; make smart choices. Call Dave now at (503) 789-7633 or Toll Free (877) 629-5825 ext. 7.

Relocating to Portland, Oregon? Let us help with your Portland Relocation.

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Numerous buyers for properties that are a bargain

It’s interesting.  Listen to the local and national news coverage and you’d swear that the sky has fallen in the Portland real estate market.  Just this week I ran into 3 examples of properties where home my buyers saw value.  Two listed homes were short sales and already had offers on them within days of input into RMLS.  The third went into a sale pending status before they could even look at the house but RMLS had not yet been updated.  My clients were bummed.

This situation is not uncommon in today’s market.  Countless buyers are sitting on the fence waiting for that great bargain to come along.  Once it does, several of them jump on the opportunity and force a multiple offer situation.  Is our market really that bad?

Portland’s housing market is experiencing a significant adjustment

Home prices have slid in all areas.  Higher end locations like Lake Oswego, West Linn and Forest Heights are seeing adjustments back towards pricing seen in 2005.  Many of the homes in these areas are listed in the $600k price range.  A quick look at tax records will show assessor’s values over $750k.  Not that too buyers should be concerned with what the county thinks but rather note that home prices are adjusting from market peaks.  Looking at tax statements is one key way of evaluating home prices.

Prices have decreased 10% this year alone.  Recently I evaluated a Lake Oswego home for sale.  Sellers purchase the home in 2001 and were looking to relocate.  Taking a broader look at appreciation rates showed a tradational 6% overall increase (comparison of purchase price in 2001 to today’s potential sale price).  Buying in Lake Oswego proved to be a decent investment overall.

Unrealistic sellers need to lower price in order to compete

A huge factor in what’s driving down Portland real estate prices is the shear amount of short sale and foreclosed upon properties.  Banks actually taking homes back through foreclosure are very few, relatively speaking.  Owners who have the fore site to see their financial position may find it beneficial to do what’s known as Deed in Lieu of Foreclosure (give their house directly back to the bank).  This allows banks to unload homes quickly through the Portland MLS.

Whatever method is used to obtain the property doesn’t really matter.  Point is that bank owned real estate will be marketed at an aggressive price.  Benefit is to the buyer.  Buyers purchase properties at very attractive prices and are able to close within a standard 30 day period.  Short sale properties very often take 3 months to actually close, if they ever do.  Bank owned (foreclosures) and short sales are competing against the average seller, driving down their market value.  Sellers have to step up to the plate and lower their price to stay competitive!

Search all Portland Real Estate for sale at www.MaxwellSinclair.com

It’s an interesting real estate market here in Portland and one that heavily favors Portland real estate investors.  Depending upon whose real estate study you’re looking at and where in the country it was generated you can expect somewhere between 5 – 7% annual appreciation.  Keep in mind that appreciation is not linear.  That is to say price does not necessarily go up 5+% each and every year.  15% appreciation one year, -5% the next…

Take a look at what’s happening now.  We’re experiencing a buyer’s market where prices of Portland real estate have dropped very little compared to just one year ago.  Being immersed in the field I can tell you that prices have declined more than statistics show.  In 2006 buyers were very hard pressed to find homes for sale in Beaverton anywere under $220k.  Now those same homes are running close to the $200,000 point.  About a 10% reduction in 2 years.

The great thing about being an investor is that you’re looking at the long term return.  Single family investments yield better returns on the lower end, such as a $200k home in Beaverton Oregon.  An average condition ranch style home will fetch an easy $1100/mo in today’s market.  Do a little remodel and $1200/mo is not a problem.  Try that 3 years ago and you’d be looking at big vacancies.

Rents are heading north.  They’ll continue to do so as long as our housing market remains in a slump.  Great time to be a landlord and invest in real estate.  Prices are down, inventory is up, mortgage rates are increadibly low today.  At 5.375% for a 30 year conventional loan money is cheap.  Add .5% roughly for an investment.  No one has a crystal ball but signs are very promissing that now is the time, buy low.

Capitalize on overall return, not cash flow.  Here’s a rule of thumb you possibly haven’t heard before; Buy entry level investment houses with 100% financing (or as close as possible to) where rent covers the mortgage payment (principle and interest only).  There will be negative cash flow because you’re paying taxes and insurance out of pocket each month.  It is possible to do this.

100% financing is still available through various sources but most easily structured through a home equity line of credit on primary residences plus 80% ltv on the purchase.  Very few houses qualify, in my opinion, as good candidates for this formula.  They’re usually fixers in need of about $10k worth of work (sweat equity).  So, with $10k invested in this property and the rest financed you’re only negative roughly $200/mo (taxes and insurance).  Pretty bad right?  Maybe not.

Cash flow can be a very short sided approach for some people.  There are 3 major factors to keep in mind; tax deduction, depreciation, and return on investment.  Overall, in today’s market, you’re probably not coming out ahead due to the direction of prices.  When our housing market turns around such an investment will return a very attractive number overall.  Prices have not gone backwards like this in approximately 40 years.  It’s not going to continue!

Like always, I encourage your comments and objections.  Is investing in this market right for you?

Feel free to check out Portland Real Estate for Sale and investments guides at www.MaxwellSinclair.com