March 2011 Portland Home Appreciation Report
Wednesday, March 16th, 2011Portland’s February numbers turned out better than both years prior. Plus the number of new property listings was down from 2010. Sales have been consistent overall running around 1600/mo for the Portland metro area. This is good news for our housing market. The amount of inventory overall is shrinking slightly and the rate at which prices are dropping is tapering off. There was a 10.5% drop in prices when comparing February 2010 to February 2011 but figures only average 3% for the past 12 month period.
What’s the overall feeling of Portland real estate? It’s stabilizing but has some distance to go before appreciation happens overall. Buyers confident with their jobs are making moves that’ll pay off over time. Big question is what’s going to happen as inflation kicks in and interest rates are no longer in the 4’s. Hard to say for certain. What drives home sales in Beaverton, Portland, Lake Oswego, Tigard and Hillsboro is mainly consumer confidence. I doubt we’ll see much drastic change in prices or interest rates through the summer.
Banks are still holding onto inventory and foreclosures are incredibly common so we’ll continue to see them in the MLS. Houses for sale in Portland are led in price by foreclosures and short sales, nothing new here. What is new is the amount of Realtors that are short sale certified and working with banks that are getting progressively better at dealing with offers, albeit, they’ve got a heck of a long way to go (banks). 80% of offers I write on short sales end up never closing. Not saying to buyers that chasing them is not worth the effort but, rather, don’t get too emotionally attached to the property…
It’s a great time to purchase right now. Prices are back to 2003 or earlier levels and interest rates are phenomenally low. Investors should be paying close attention as cash flow numbers have never been better, at least in the 15 years I’ve been watching Portland real estate activity. Rents are rising.
Bottom line is that buyers can probably dilly dally through the spring but sellers are not gaining by holding off on the sale. Hit the market with strong (not high) prices and you’ll net more overall than chasing prices downward.
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